How Ramadan shows up in Internet trends

Post Syndicated from João Tomé original https://blog.cloudflare.com/how-ramadan-shows-up-in-internet-trends/

How Ramadan shows up in Internet trends

How Ramadan shows up in Internet trends

What happens to the Internet traffic in countries where many observe Ramadan? Depending on the country, there are clear shifts and changing patterns in Internet use, particularly before dawn and after sunset.

This year, Ramadan started on April 2, and it continued until May 1, 2022, (dates vary and are dependent on the appearance of the crescent moon). For Muslims, it is a period of introspection, communal prayer and also of fasting every day from dawn to sunset. That means that people only eat at night (Iftar is the first meal after sunset that breaks the fast and often also a family or community event), and also before sunrise (Suhur).

In some countries, the impact is so big that we can see in our Internet traffic charts when the sun sets. Sunrise is more difficult to check in the charts, but in the countries more impacted, people wake up much earlier than usual and were using the Internet in the early morning because of that.

Cloudflare Radar data shows that Internet traffic was impacted in several countries by Ramadan, with a clear increase in traffic before sunrise, and a bigger than usual decrease after sunset. All times in this blog post are local. The data in the charts is bucketed into hours. So, for example, when we show an increase in traffic at 0400 we are showing that an increase occurred between 0400 and 0459 local time.

Indonesia is a clear example of that, showing trends that continued until the end of Ramadan:

How Ramadan shows up in Internet trends

In the next table, we show a country ranking by order of impact. Here, we include traffic changes before dawn and after sunset. In the last column, you can also see the change in traffic after Ramadan ended, right after sunset. In this case, we’re looking at Wednesday, May 4, right after the Eid al-fitr — the May 2-3, 2022 holiday of breaking the fast, in a comparison with the previous Wednesday at the same time (when Ramadan was ongoing):

Internet traffic: Ramadan’s impact Before sunrise After sunset Post-Ramadan, May 4 (after sunset)
Afghanistan +203% -28% +20%
Pakistan +119% -39% +13%
Indonesia +98% -13%
Morocco +90% -36% +44%
Libya +81% -27% +48%
Turkey +78% -19% +22%
Bangladesh +62% -40% +12%
Saudi Arabia +55% -45% -5%
United Arab Emirates +52% -13% +4%
Bahrain +44% -31% +21%
Malaysia +41% -8% -9%
Qatar +35% -23% +5%
Egypt +31% -32% +56%
Tunisia +25% -43% +101%
Iran +24% +10% -12%
Singapore +8% -5% +4%
India -15%

Afghanistan, Pakistan, Indonesia, Morocco, Libya and Turkey had the biggest impact in an increase in traffic before sunrise. After sunset, it was (by order of impact) Saudi Arabia, Tunisia, Bangladesh, Pakistan that showed a more clear decrease in traffic after sunset.

Here’s the impact of the start of Ramadan on Bangladesh, with more highlights inside the next chart:

How Ramadan shows up in Internet trends

Waking up earlier

There’s a clear pattern in most of the countries, Internet traffic was much higher than usual between 04:00 to 04:59 local time (where usually it’s the time with the lowest traffic).

The same early spike is seen in Turkey and the United Arab Emirates. In the case of the United Arab Emirates, the time before sunrise for the Suhur meal had more mobile usage than usual (so people were using their mobile devices to access the Internet more than usual at that time).

That’s also the case for Pakistan, where traffic is 119% higher on the 04:00 to 04:59 hour on April 3, than on the previous Sunday, but also in Qatar (sunrise at 05:25 and a spike of 35%) or Afghanistan. In the latter, the spike is 203% higher:

How Ramadan shows up in Internet trends

We also saw the same trend in Indonesia, sunrise was at 05:55 local time at the beginning of April, and there’s a clear spike in traffic in the 04:00 to 04:59 hour with a 98% growth in requests.

Northern African countries like Egypt, Tunisia, Morocco or Libya (sunrise at 06:54), show the same 04:00 to 04:59 hour spike. In Libya, traffic was 81% higher on Sunday, April 3, than it was the previous Sunday at the same time. Usually, the 04:00 to 04:59 hour is the lowest point in traffic in the country, but on April 3 and the following days it was at 08:00.

Saudi Arabia shows a similar pattern in terms of Internet traffic on Sunday, April 3, 2022, sunrise was at 05:44, and there was 55% more Internet use than at the same time on the previous Sunday, before Ramadan.

How Ramadan shows up in Internet trends

Does daily total Internet traffic go up or down?

The short answer is: depends on the country, given that there are examples of a  general increase and decrease in traffic in the most impacted countries. We see similar trends for the sunset and sunrise times of day, but it’s a different story throughout the 30 days of Ramadan.

Iran, in general, shows an increase in traffic after Ramadan started on April 2, and a decrease after it ended on May 3 (of around 15%).

How Ramadan shows up in Internet trends

Something similar is seen in Pakistan, that had a general decrease in traffic the week after Ramadan ended, but during the 18:00 to 18:59 hour, May 4, had 13% more traffic than at the same time on the previous Wednesday, when Ramadan was being observed and the iftar meal would have happened during the 18:00 to 18:59 hour.

How Ramadan shows up in Internet trends

The opposite happens in Libya, where traffic, generally speaking, declined during Ramadan and picked up after — comparing Wednesday, May 4, 2022, with the previous one during the 19:00 to 19:59 hour, traffic grew around 48%. The same trend is seen in another North African country: Morocco (growth of 44% after Ramadan ended).

How Ramadan shows up in Internet trends

After Ramadan, sunsets ‘bring’ more Internet traffic

Another pattern, unsurprisingly, that our chart at the beginning of this blog post shows is how the sunset period changes when Ramadan (and the holiday that follows) ends, in most cases clearly increasing traffic at around 18:00 or 19:00.

Of the 16 countries with a bigger Ramadan impact, only four had a decrease in traffic after sunset on May 4: Iran, Indonesia, Saudi Arabia and Malaysia. All of these countries had an increase (or sustained traffic) in daily traffic during Ramadan and lost daily Internet usage after it ended (in May).

Here’s the example of Indonesia through the Ramadan period that includes April and May:

How Ramadan shows up in Internet trends

And a zoomed-in Indonesia chart after Ramadan ended (May 1, but bear in mind that May 2-3 is the holiday Eid al-fitr) that shows not only the general decrease in traffic, but also how the sunset period doesn’t have a clear drop in requests as seen in the Ramadan period:

How Ramadan shows up in Internet trends

Conclusion: a human impact

Ramadan has a clear impact on Internet traffic patterns as humans change their habits.

The Internet may be the network of networks, where there are many bots (friendly and less friendly), but it continues to be a human-powered network, made by humans for humans.

Follow our Internet trends (including details about ASNs) on Cloudflare Radar, and also on Radar’s Twitter account.